Firsthand-Seagull
0xbafb8d29203675b241d49aa9247de08316736e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$40.79
Win rate
84%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
2506 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
164 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
145 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
90 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
86 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
57 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
50 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.03Jul 16, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.04Jul 16, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.52Jul 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.02Jul 14, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Jul 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.01Jul 13, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.39Jul 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.38Jul 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.02Jul 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.01Jul 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.31Jul 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Jul 13, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.41Jul 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.05Jul 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.02Jul 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.08Jul 13, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.04Jul 13, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.