Limp-Secretion
0xbb015bb4009b6a48bfb9363d9c9b1d54e9ab02e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$231.28
Total PnL
$-174.8K
Realised
$-6.8K
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
1169 shares @ 60.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.59
$-572.71
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
893 shares @ 27.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.69
$-139.48
- YES
Will Man's Best Friend by Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
150000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will SOS by SZA be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
150000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Short n' Sweet by Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
150000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will One Thing At A Time by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
150000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will The Leaks by Lil Baby be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
150000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters by Soundtrack be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
150000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will DINASTIA by Peso Pluma & Tito Double P be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
141555 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will So Close To What by Tate McRae be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?
141261 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.9K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$1.4KJul 14, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?$89.99Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?$115.82Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$335.52Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$781.09Apr 14, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCBB mindshare all time high by March 31?$144.74Mar 25, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$120.56Mar 25, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$13.50Mar 24, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$9.00Mar 24, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$18.82Mar 23, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$17.98Mar 19, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$17.11Mar 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$15.11Mar 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$11.94Mar 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$29.38Mar 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$9.00Mar 7, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$267.02Mar 7, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$1.0KMar 7, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLmert mindshare all time high by March 31?$49.99Mar 3, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?$5.00Feb 28, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.