Wretched-Cage
0xbb0d39a04c6a670f4657025fd4699105e0bc4c32
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$18.83
Total PnL
$-2.99
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.58
$-0.02
- NO
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.61
$-0.01
- YES
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Dec 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$298.50Dec 12, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$3.23Dec 12, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 12, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Dec 11, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Dec 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Dec 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$304.40Dec 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$303.87Dec 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$306.80Dec 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.00Dec 9, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?$10.00Dec 9, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?$1.01Dec 9, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?$2.00Dec 9, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: May$2.03Dec 9, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$2.15Dec 9, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEM1,100+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?$2.15Dec 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?$1.00May 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,100+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?$2.00May 29, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$2.00May 29, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".