Idealistic-Fatigue
0xbb16a78da1d91e2b77d687b1f6a4e11a8d0376cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$500.00
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
500 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$500.00
$320.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
27510 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-17.1K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-781.50
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
500 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-335.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$190.00Nov 5, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$191.50Nov 5, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$400.00Nov 5, 17:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.36Nov 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$167.50Oct 28, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$167.50Oct 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$180.00Oct 28, 23:09 UTC
- REWARD$0.83Oct 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.9KOct 25, 14:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Oct 25, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.60Oct 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$5.0KOct 22, 16:48 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Oct 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$362.03Oct 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$121.78Oct 21, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$9.96Oct 21, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$34.79Oct 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.2KOct 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.4KOct 21, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.9KOct 21, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $437.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 11:28 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.