Mindless-Flexibility
0xbb27423b9edf31f43bbd0c7ede7c6fc63019cc9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-34.97
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 28?
4019 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 27?
1231 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 30?
435 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 12?
302 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
179 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-87.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
160 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-80.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?
117 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-57.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 14?
98 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11?
97 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
87 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.10Jun 18, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.17Jun 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.08Jun 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 17?$2.21Jun 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 17?$13.41Jun 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?$13.53Jun 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?$19.15Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.08Jun 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.10Jun 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.05Jun 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.15Jun 16, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$7.14Jun 16, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.10Jun 16, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.75Jun 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.05Jun 16, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$7.04Jun 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.10Jun 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$19.68Jun 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$4.09Jun 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$14.18Jun 12, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.