Nervous-Orchard
0xbb2a47e5a6119034b3d25a0905d5050719e1a436
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
8404 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-378.91
- YES
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?
5944 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Solana all time high in April?
4500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.90
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?
3728 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-195.68
- NO
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?
2291 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-114.55
- YES
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?
1934 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?
1836 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-315.52
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?
1696 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-209.72
- YES
Will Kanye tweet 700 or more times February 8-14?
1654 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-19.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$27.98Jun 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$16.72Jun 5, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by June 30?$44.07Jun 5, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$82.88Jun 5, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$59.08Jun 5, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?$9.03Jun 5, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$151.62Jun 5, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$42.35Jun 1, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$20.00Jun 1, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$33.97Jun 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$105.40Jun 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30?$19.18May 19, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $210 in May?$7.00May 19, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $210 in May?$1.05May 19, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $210 in May?$11.13May 19, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3500 in May?$3.99May 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?$9.00May 7, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?$1.80May 7, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high by June 30?$14.79May 7, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in May?$139.82May 2, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".