Serene-Outhouse
0xbb31cb450a4b8ab7419461a43a35ad66cc5158cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-232.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1032 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 13?
436 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
429 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 13?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4PM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 17?
92 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$32.00Dec 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?$50.00Dec 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?$50.00Dec 8, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$150.00Dec 8, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$274.44Nov 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$149.99Nov 16, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 17?$20.00Oct 15, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 13, 4PM ET$10.00Sep 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 13?$10.00Sep 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 13?$10.00Sep 12, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $75.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".