0xbb35757c8501a5496a7bd8eb64b29ddef8e40988
0xbb35757c8501a5496a7bd8eb64b29ddef8e40988
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$40.09
Total PnL
$-823.81
Realised
$-41.68
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?
9 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.28
$4.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 22?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.07
$3.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 22?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$5.67
$0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on July 22?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$5.59
$0.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.76
$-0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.52
$0.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$-0.07
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
5 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.02
$-4.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?$4.98Jul 22, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?$7.94Jul 22, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 22?$36.43Jul 22, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 22?$4.52Jul 22, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?$4.62Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?$0.71Jul 22, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?$0.96Jul 22, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?$0.96Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?$0.96Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?$0.96Jul 22, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 22?$1.13Jul 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 22?$0.48Jul 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 22?$0.97Jul 22, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?$4.47Jul 22, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 22?$0.93Jul 22, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on July 22?$4.70Jul 22, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?$4.62Jul 22, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 21?$5.77Jul 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 22?$4.80Jul 22, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?$5.85Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.