Valid-Carriage
0xbb3b49c5a928757f4aa0b7eadcca78e661baa904
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$91.87
Total PnL
$2.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$10.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.02
$0.02
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$6.00Dec 8, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$7.00Nov 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$4.00Nov 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Nov 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Nov 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$5.00Nov 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 20, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$5.00Nov 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$5.00Nov 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate cut in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 08:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".