Far-Off-Inevitable
0xbb3b5712838a45a9f14a21827c3eee2c04346a8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 24?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will Arthur Cottrel be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.31Mar 11, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Mar 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$1.10Mar 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$0.45Mar 10, 04:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.74Mar 10, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Mar 10, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.58Mar 10, 00:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.29Mar 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arthur Cottrel be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$0.25Mar 9, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0.05Mar 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$0.95Mar 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$0.95Mar 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.05Mar 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.10Mar 9, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.00Mar 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.15Mar 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.10Mar 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.27Mar 9, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 9?$0.03Mar 9, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $23.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.