Joyful-Regionalism
0xbb4392c333c4f3ef161d0b8497f09146fd939d70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Judy Shelton attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
2051 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1811 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.25
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
1106 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" during the State of the Union address?
946 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score AND Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$55.56Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?$55.57Jun 24, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Timberwolves (-5.5)$0.00Mar 28, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Raptors$0.00Mar 28, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Lakers$0.00Mar 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$96.09Mar 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$96.31Mar 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$100.00Mar 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$100.00Mar 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMichigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies$180.85Mar 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones$261.81Mar 28, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$0.00Mar 28, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones$100.00Mar 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies$100.00Mar 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$100.00Mar 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils$100.00Mar 27, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)$500.00Mar 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?$208.87Mar 7, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$97.50Mar 7, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?$181.31Mar 7, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $174.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.