Defiant-Cent
0xbb45cdb7df73575a9bc7abe0a509dc7a742d0a94
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$15.81
Total PnL
$-175.71
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?
4 shares @ 45.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp May 10, 2026$4.09
$2.09
- NO
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 11?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 10?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 10?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on May 11?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?$1.011h ago
- TRADESELLWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10?$0.971h ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10?$1.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$1.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?$1.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 12?$1.041h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12?$1.051h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$1.092h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?$0.072h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?$0.272h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$1.012h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$4.252h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$3.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?$1.012h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.103h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.013h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.223h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.013h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.113h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
