Necessary-Sill
0xbb4b384c788bb306b3ec9143541a95d578b03725
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-174.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1795197 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-118.5K
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
357788 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.6K
- YES
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?
153185 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?
118445 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
60869 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?
52891 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
51377 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-6.2K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
50527 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.5K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
41504 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2024?
18166 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.54Dec 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $3.2KDec 4, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$6.25Dec 4, 07:08 UTC
- REWARD$4.37Dec 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$212.41Dec 3, 19:29 UTC
- REWARD$2.16Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Dec 2, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Dec 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$10.59Nov 30, 21:46 UTC
- REWARD$4.20Nov 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$12.35Nov 29, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$30.40Nov 29, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$37.81Nov 29, 09:02 UTC
- REWARD$2.34Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$9.50Nov 28, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$2.11Nov 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$110.18Nov 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?$3.19Nov 28, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?$11.21Nov 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2024?$98.12Nov 27, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $91.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".