Amusing-Casket
0xbb4d0e5c0dbbf1f8e1456965d79015e075a8442f
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-491.98
Realised
$-19.90
Win rate
37%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4PM ET
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
640 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
250 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-72.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
117 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$4.05Jul 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.43Jul 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.59Jul 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.47Jul 12, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$12.00Jul 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.55Jul 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.34Jul 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.22Jul 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.13Jul 12, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.00Jul 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.58Jul 12, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$2.05Jul 12, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.55Jul 12, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.07Jul 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.20Jul 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.23Jul 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.55Jul 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.00Jul 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$3.95Jul 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$15.26Jul 11, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
37% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
43 closed markets, 37% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.