Equal-Incision
0xbb4ef375726d4dc9936af5efafdedbd42ef26664
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$887.56
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$51.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6942 shares @ 32.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$867.71
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1470 shares @ 22.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.85
$-310.15
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
6728 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-179.99
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
5256 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-603.39
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
668 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $112000 on August 13?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- CHANDLER
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- JANDIROBA
Dern vs. Jandiroba
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$77.76Mar 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 30, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$70.00Jan 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$206.25Jan 30, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$100.00Jan 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 30, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$300.67Jan 30, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$5.22Jan 23, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$3.37Jan 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$4.76Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.19Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.19Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$3.38Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.43Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$74.26Jan 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$3.38Jan 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$406.84Jan 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$98.40Jan 17, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$100.00Jan 15, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $124.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".