Agonizing-Inflation
0xbb520cfd84bf516dccdc071d1211d3e509fc118a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.10
Realised
$-4.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?
227 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.41
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
114 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.41
- YES
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?
18 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?$3.60Mar 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?$42.00Mar 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?$1.81Mar 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$11.41Mar 7, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$11.42Mar 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$10.57Mar 4, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET$9.66Mar 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET$3.00Mar 4, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET$3.70Mar 4, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET$19.00Mar 4, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET$18.79Mar 4, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$94.79Mar 4, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$3.00Mar 1, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.01Mar 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$12.91Mar 1, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.