Limited-Pincenez
0xbb66b122d258dffb28699295b7c450259d8ca82f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.8K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
11600 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.89
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 11AM ET
11211 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-696.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7AM ET
7023 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-540.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7AM ET
6993 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-325.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?
6728 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-125.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4AM ET
5239 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-256.02
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
3687 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
3641 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-565.37
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 21?
3501 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-108.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
3350 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-244.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$6.18May 11, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00May 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$3.71May 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$21.25May 10, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$24.87May 10, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.00May 10, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$11.18May 10, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$11.21May 10, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$32.71May 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$10.55May 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$43.08May 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.04May 10, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$23.37May 10, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?$0.43May 10, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$20.69May 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$12.58May 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$30.82May 10, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$0.43May 10, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$0.19May 10, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$57.63May 10, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.