Trusting-Contract
0xbb7298d67b995292008a136a1a43b89784016af3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$1.57
Total PnL
$-153.23
Realised
$4.23
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.57
$-0.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
1025 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
35 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
24 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.04Jul 7, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.03Jul 7, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.05Jul 7, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.13Jun 20, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$3.09Jun 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$2.07Jun 20, 23:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 03:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.