0xbb7a6e5b0d5b6a2fe797c00c5c7b8b11772ded18
0xbb7a6e5b0d5b6a2fe797c00c5c7b8b11772ded18
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.42
Total PnL
$-530.02
Realised
$185.06
Win rate
90%
128 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 29?
954 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.25
$3.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 29?
755 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.15
$-5.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 30?
480 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.68
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 29?
566 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.85
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 28?
551 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.28
$-0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 28?
451 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.23
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 7?
2534 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 5?
2372 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 3?
1982 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 9?
1975 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 29?$0.40Jul 28, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$2.80Jul 28, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 29?$2.35Jul 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?$4.50Jul 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?$4.00Jul 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 29?$4.09Jul 28, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 28?$1.10Jul 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 28?$0.20Jul 28, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?$0.76Jul 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 28?$5.33Jul 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 128 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
128 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 128 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.