Discrete-Cellar
0xbb82d3143a93ae343154e9141659a25a78a368ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$543.97
Total PnL
$-209.68
Realised
$-1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
6447 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$483.52
$-62.48
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
650 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$60.45
$1.34
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
2345 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1777 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.50
- YES
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
915 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
757 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
324 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$26.49Jun 4, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.07Jun 4, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".