0xbb82fed67fcc1489f4fa8fb59cf06d8bc27abf91
0xbb82fed67fcc1489f4fa8fb59cf06d8bc27abf91
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-327.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
1728 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-11.10
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
297 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.56
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
211 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
205 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
160 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
140 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.57
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
107 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
71 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
70 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.22
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
56 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.25Jul 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.27Jul 21, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.00Jul 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.66Jul 21, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4.41Jul 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$3.41Jul 21, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$3.38Jul 21, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.40Jul 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.27Jul 21, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$4.56Jul 21, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.27Jul 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.27Jul 20, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$4.55Jul 20, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.90Jul 20, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$3.39Jul 20, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.61Jul 20, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$4.77Jul 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.61Jul 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.61Jul 20, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.