Smart-Merchandise
0xbb8525406ae83993d61e16a051faff4f3b3bbf3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-956.55
Realised
$-151.48
Win rate
39%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Erwann Davoux win the Marseille mayor election?
10823 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.65
- YES
Will Jan Schakowsky be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
10207 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.83
- YES
Will Felix Tello be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
7278 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-29.11
- YES
Will Cristian Tastaca win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
6084 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.34
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 30, 2026?
5545 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.68
- YES
Will Sarah Adlakha be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi?
4538 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.91
- YES
Will Ramón Daza win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
4537 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.15
- YES
Will Eric France be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
4167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by March 31?
2346 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$0.00Apr 8, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$0.52Apr 8, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$0.04Mar 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.00Mar 22, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.09Mar 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angélica Sosa win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.53Mar 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.02Mar 18, 17:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$248.25Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$248.50Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$248.75Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$249.25Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.19Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.35Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$250.25Mar 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Casey Chlebek be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$0.01Mar 17, 08:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Mar 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 16, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$5.65Mar 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Gary Áñez win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.49Mar 16, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $292.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".