Determined-Keyboard
0xbb8d6c6024430d390f2dd0ea5f997cf636a16b03
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed rate hike in 2025?
5135 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-205.38
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
4610 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-589.49
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
3860 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3856 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-74.30
- NO
Fed rate cut by December meeting?
2631 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-446.79
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1086 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-478.05
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
330 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will The Penguin win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?
114 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.26
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
43 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$28.21Nov 14, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?$100.00Sep 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$240.00Aug 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$330.00Aug 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$31.15Aug 1, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$75.00Aug 1, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$179.00Aug 1, 18:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.77Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.36Jul 30, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.62Jul 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.27Jul 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2025?$40.00Jul 30, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December meeting?$0.23Jul 30, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.96Jul 30, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.02Jul 30, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December meeting?$11.73Jul 30, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.54Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.18Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.62Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.82Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $68.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".