Tepid-Pagoda
0xbb8db5cff1157ebf0e1f8dd9af00c4e56026edbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$7.06
Total PnL
$-18.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alan Keating win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$1.02Dec 15, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.03Dec 15, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 5, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 5, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$500.00Dec 1, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$500.00Dec 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$500.00Dec 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$500.00Dec 1, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$250.00Dec 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$138.59Dec 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$7.00Dec 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$9.44Dec 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$9.24Dec 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.58Dec 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$7.86Dec 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$72.30Dec 1, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$500.00Dec 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$240.00Dec 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$10.00Dec 1, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $270 in November?$1.01Dec 1, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $111.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.