Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-365.03

Realised

$-7.37

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 20

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
132 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
102 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
70 shares @ 75.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025
$0.00
$-53.01
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
37 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 6AM ET
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
21 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-4.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
20 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-5.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
20 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-15.55
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$91.45Nov 26, 04:18 UTC
TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$40.50Nov 16, 11:17 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$146.14Nov 10, 05:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$3.50Nov 10, 05:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$23.53Nov 10, 04:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$3.30Nov 10, 04:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$15.78Nov 10, 04:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$3.00Nov 10, 04:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$13.60Nov 10, 04:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Nov 10, 04:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.50Nov 10, 04:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$20.00Nov 10, 04:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.50Nov 10, 04:01 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$19.80Nov 10, 03:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$10.77Nov 10, 03:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$6.23Nov 10, 03:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.00Nov 10, 03:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.49Nov 10, 03:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.01Nov 10, 03:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.50Nov 10, 03:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry20 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $12.31
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 10, 01:07 UTC
Last active: Nov 26, 04:18 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 23:27:33 UTC·src:Polymarket Data