Blaring-Sandpaper
0xbb9f12f1bd43d876d60e01e563f9cb6998ef1893
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$68.96
Realised
$42.06
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
550 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$546.43
$5.33
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
244 shares @ 82.7¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$236.85
$35.04
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
200 shares @ 85.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.54
$19.45
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
215 shares @ 85.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$177.38
$-6.77
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
115 shares @ 88.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$104.65
$2.35
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
90 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.70
$2.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
80 shares @ 89.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.24
$6.64
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
65 shares @ 84.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.77
$5.76
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
62 shares @ 91.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$59.55
$2.88
- NO
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
30 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.36
$3.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.067h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.407h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$27.458h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$12.428h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$3.708h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.608h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.968h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$7.208h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.508h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$7.458h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.358h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.008h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$145.998h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$96.308h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?$13.298h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?$45.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?$18.408h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?$8.509h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 21h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
