Enraged-Sophomore
0xbba4f4d3984e4a24052c3fc798a965103514f8c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.7K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-166.25
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
14000 shares @ 51.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.1K
$-99.92
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
5100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.5K
$-77.50
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
4200 shares @ 47.1¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.1K
$116.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$945.00
$95.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$800.00
$384.00
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$500.00
$450.00
- NO
Will Alireza Firouzja qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?
500 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$500.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Hans Niemann qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?
498 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$497.99
$1.00
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$200.50
$192.75
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$200.00
$60.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $39.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.