Striking-Knee
0xbba5b49f930e871d87cb2c000dce2beeaf287891
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.61
Total PnL
$-1.15
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.58
$0.01
- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$1.01
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$578.84Oct 23, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$585.00Oct 23, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$586.33Oct 23, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$587.93Oct 23, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$1.00Oct 23, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 24, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$1.00Sep 24, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?$1.00Sep 24, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$1.01Sep 24, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in May?$1.01Sep 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in May?$1.00May 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in May?$1.00May 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?$1.00May 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.99May 15, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?$2.01May 15, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$2.03May 15, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.22May 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?$2.00Mar 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.99Mar 25, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.01Mar 25, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $69.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.