Partial-Candidate
0xbbaa537be3d9bea58a7137867764cbcfa9b488a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-130.23
Win rate
22%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 6?
560 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 10?
167 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 11?
140 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 9?
132 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 11?
79 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 6?
73 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 11?
65 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 17?
65 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?
64 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 13?
62 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 22?$13.33May 23, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?$22.84May 23, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?$15.01May 23, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 22?$25.43May 23, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22?$27.99May 23, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?$27.10May 22, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 19?$5.35May 22, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 19?$6.49May 22, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 19?$5.83May 22, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 19?$5.28May 22, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?$18.06May 22, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 21?$7.73May 22, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 21?$24.41May 22, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 21?$32.23May 22, 05:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.12May 22, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18?$19.20May 21, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 18?$42.04May 21, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 18?$10.24May 21, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 18?$23.01May 21, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 18?$25.26May 21, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
51 closed markets, 22% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.