Twin-Believer
0xbbad8952b00ebaaceaa6ee3789eecb1855868426
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$859.41
Total PnL
$-185.33
Realised
$83.14
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 14?
159 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$147.88
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on May 13?
109 shares @ 91.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$106.36
$6.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on May 13?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$104.28
$4.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 13?
108 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$103.45
$3.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?
111 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$93.33
$-5.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?
107 shares @ 69.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$75.15
$1.14
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?
85 shares @ 92.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$72.65
$-6.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 15?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$47.60
$2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 14?
139 shares @ 29.3¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$45.15
$4.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?
43 shares @ 92.9¢·now 85.7¢·exp May 14, 2026$36.53
$-3.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 14?$2.673m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$2.6912m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$2.6912m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$2.6912m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.3112m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$1.1812m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$2.6923m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$2.6923m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$2.6923m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 15?$45.0023m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5024m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?$3.5024m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 14?$15.3233m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 13?$10.2833m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 13?$10.2833m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 3m ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
