Lively-Familiarity
0xbbaee0598e54f727fc90ba894e2f42207c0569c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.78
Realised
$14.01
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 20?
2200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 3?
2127 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 3?
2018 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $2.90 September 15-21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 3?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 4?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
1150 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 4?$1.40Jan 3, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 4?$0.02Jan 3, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 4?$0.40Jan 3, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 4?$0.58Jan 3, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 3?$2.00Jan 3, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 3?$1.00Jan 3, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 3?$1.50Jan 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 2?$1.50Jan 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 2?$1.00Jan 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$0.06Jan 2, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$0.19Jan 2, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$0.11Jan 2, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$0.12Jan 2, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$0.13Jan 2, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 2?$0.40Jan 2, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 2?$1.00Jan 1, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 1?$1.00Jan 1, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 30?$3.38Dec 30, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 30?$0.02Dec 30, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 30?$0.69Dec 30, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".