Pleased-Mint
0xbbb72a812cfbc5217d77c0a0018c71f174d3a11a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$-43.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 21?
943 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$942.69
$88.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 21?
760 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$742.51
$7.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?
816 shares @ 85.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$664.96
$-29.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 21?
662 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$661.96
$135.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?
750 shares @ 87.2¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$611.20
$-42.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 21?
634 shares @ 68.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$573.91
$137.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 21?
462 shares @ 92.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$408.88
$-19.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 21?
412 shares @ 89.1¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$394.93
$27.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 21?
335 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$325.51
$11.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or below on July 21?
281 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$280.81
$15.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?$1.36Jul 21, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$30.71Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$43.78Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$14.70Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 21?$98.88Jul 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 21?$95.96Jul 21, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 21?$84.13Jul 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?$11.15Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21?$8.85Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 21?$92.28Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?$2.94Jul 21, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?$11.66Jul 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 21?$32.52Jul 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?$6.82Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 21?$23.74Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21?$0.85Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?$1.24Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 21?$83.16Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 92-93°F on July 21?$4.67Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?$22.98Jul 21, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.