Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-93.19

Realised

$-2.19

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 24

NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?
1080 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
YES
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-05-06?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
FC VOLENDAM
Spread: FC Volendam (-2.5)
921 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on May 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on May 4?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.07May 9, 16:34 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.12May 9, 16:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.02May 9, 16:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$2.13May 9, 16:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$3.01May 9, 16:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$2.07May 9, 16:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.34May 9, 16:23 UTC
TRADESELLWill Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?$1.29May 9, 16:21 UTC
TRADESELLSevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$6.65May 9, 16:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?$8.08May 9, 16:11 UTC
TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$3.05May 9, 15:56 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?$3.06May 9, 15:55 UTC
TRADESELLSunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$0.41May 9, 15:35 UTC
TRADEBUYSunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$5.06May 9, 13:33 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$15.25May 9, 13:33 UTC
TRADESELLLiverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score$1.29May 9, 11:37 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$2.05May 9, 11:35 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$2.04May 9, 11:35 UTC
TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score$2.04May 9, 11:34 UTC
REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$5.56May 6, 23:09 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry17 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $3.07
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 4, 17:21 UTC
Last active: May 9, 16:34 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 07:00:56 UTC·src:Polymarket Data