Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.7K

Realised

$-783.95

Win rate

19 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 73

DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 6PM ET
371 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-75.27
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 8AM ET
229 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026
$0.00
$-76.16
DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
194 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-49.87
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET
159 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026
$0.00
$-79.52
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET
131 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026
$0.00
$-79.63
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
115 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026
$0.00
$-57.74
DOWN
HYPE Up or Down - April 17, 6PM ET
110 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026
$0.00
$-78.30
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
97 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026
$0.00
$-59.85
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
95 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026
$0.00
$-50.02
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
92 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026
$0.00
$-59.84

Recent activity

REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Jun 30, 17:14 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8PM ET$20.21Jun 30, 17:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8PM ET$19.27Jun 4, 00:30 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$51.69Jun 3, 22:42 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET$20.21Jun 3, 17:21 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET$19.27Jun 3, 16:30 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$21.50Jun 3, 16:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$21.62Jun 3, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.66Jun 3, 16:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$12.88Jun 3, 16:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$61.31Jun 3, 16:08 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$14.95Jun 3, 16:07 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$20.01Jun 3, 13:36 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET$20.21Jun 3, 12:15 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET$41.43Jun 3, 12:14 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET$19.27Jun 3, 10:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET$39.50Jun 3, 10:30 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET$20.39Jun 3, 07:09 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.58Jun 3, 06:55 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET$19.28Jun 3, 05:30 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

49/100

read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 19 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

pass

32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.

Resolved-only track record

review

19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence63 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry81 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 32
Avg trade size: $23.18
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 1, 14:05 UTC
Last active: Jun 30, 17:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 19 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 03:05:52 UTC·src:Polymarket Data