0xbbc6c61c05fd66f4a68e7baa5bb41de7a6bd67d8
0xbbc6c61c05fd66f4a68e7baa5bb41de7a6bd67d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.10
Total PnL
$-59.64
Realised
$0.78
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
1 shares @ 2.8¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.10
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?
10185 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?
7546 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?
7391 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 22?
4565 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?
985 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 22?
290 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 24?
47 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$0.14Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$3.36Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$0.83Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$1.70Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?$7.20Apr 28, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$4.34Apr 28, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$3.84Apr 28, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?$1.09Apr 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?$2.10Apr 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?$0.07Apr 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?$4.56Apr 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$0.20Apr 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$0.09Apr 27, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$0.09Apr 27, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$0.03Apr 27, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$3.28Apr 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on April 27?$1.92Apr 27, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on April 27?$0.23Apr 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on April 27?$0.22Apr 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?$9.86Apr 27, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.