Glamorous-Hockey
0xbbd5277a2e6fd98a717fdeab210aca4db4e0f1bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$35.95
Total PnL
$-1.97
Realised
$-3.48
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
8 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.53
$0.33
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
7 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.70
$0.47
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.23
$0.25
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
6 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.56
$0.16
- NO
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.29
$0.01
- NO
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.16
$0.03
- NO
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.69
$0.08
- NO
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.42
$0.11
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$5.40Dec 4, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.98Dec 4, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$2.98Dec 4, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$6.99Dec 4, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$6.23Oct 10, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$6.10Oct 10, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?$6.44Oct 10, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?$7.70Oct 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$6.36Oct 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.82Sep 15, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$5.32Sep 14, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.70Sep 14, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$424.41Aug 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$487.58Aug 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$326.37Aug 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$987.99Aug 6, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$888.12Aug 6, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$1.5KAug 6, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$1.3KAug 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.2KAug 6, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $335.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.