0xbbd71b6594ede934ca4d12a23eed7346dc2e70bc
0xbbd71b6594ede934ca4d12a23eed7346dc2e70bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-989.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NETHERLANDS
UEFA Nations League Round of 8: Netherlands vs. Spain
870 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-252.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 23?
700 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?
440 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-299.20
- GERMANY
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)
285 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-190.95
- NELSON
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Holland
195 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-101.40
- YES
Will Bolivia beat Uruguay?
105 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-36.75
- YES
Will Elon tweet 160-169 times April 4 - 11?
65 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-34.45
- NO
Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?
35 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-26.95
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Make a deal" during Merz events on June 5?$1.75Jun 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Finals G1: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? $2.45Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals G1: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? $2.45Jun 4, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on June 4?$2.50Jun 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 4?$2.50Jun 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)$190.95Jun 3, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTeofimo Lopez vs. Arnold Barboza Jr$1.60Apr 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.40 in April?$3.80Apr 28, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$5.00Apr 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.05Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 160-169 times April 4 - 11?$34.45Apr 11, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?$5.00Apr 11, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$30.00Apr 11, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?$1.75Apr 10, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?$2.90Apr 10, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?$5.00Apr 10, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$7.80Apr 9, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royals$8.25Apr 9, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$1.50Apr 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royals$8.25Apr 9, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.