0xbbe583fd340a599b96b2ad18c65c3fb13a7a3b34
0xbbe583fd340a599b96b2ad18c65c3fb13a7a3b34
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.38
Total PnL
$-184.69
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 22?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.25
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 22?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.95
$0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.49
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 23?$1.17Jul 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 24?$1.01Jul 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 25?$1.01Jul 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$1.41Jul 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 23?$1.26Jul 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23?$1.23Jul 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?$1.02Jul 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 25?$1.01Jul 23, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 23?$1.18Jul 23, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 23?$1.20Jul 23, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 23?$1.21Jul 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C or higher on July 25?$1.01Jul 23, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 24?$1.01Jul 23, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?$1.28Jul 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?$1.31Jul 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 23?$1.49Jul 23, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 25?$1.01Jul 23, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 23?$1.02Jul 23, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?$1.01Jul 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?$1.24Jul 23, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.