0xbbe98d28b42e6d3b6c6ed35fb0b16adf8d94b5de
0xbbe98d28b42e6d3b6c6ed35fb0b16adf8d94b5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$202.04
Total PnL
$-16.64
Realised
$-2.12
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Bucks
80 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$80.00
$26.40
- NO
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
43 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$43.00
$9.46
- NO
Will Chiefs win?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$20.00
$17.00
- NO
Will the match end in a draw?
19 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$19.04
$0.23
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000 voters?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$8.00
$4.00
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$8.00
$2.00
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be below 2,000,000 voters?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$8.00
$0.80
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be 2,800,000 voters or greater?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$8.00
$1.68
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$8.00
$1.60
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
80 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Bucks$24.80Mar 2, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Bucks$28.80Mar 2, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$14.40Mar 2, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$16.00Mar 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$40.75Mar 2, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$5.58Mar 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$33.54Mar 2, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$0.00Feb 28, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?$40.71Feb 28, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$27.71Feb 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$5.53Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?$44.98Feb 28, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?$0.00Feb 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?$31.20Feb 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$29.60Feb 28, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chiefs win?$3.00Feb 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$18.81Feb 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crusaders win?$15.40Feb 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$2.87Feb 28, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Pelicans (-4.5)$16.40Feb 26, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.