Mean-Nephew-Edge
0xbbea466ddcc2b90d77fc25514390ead44534d08c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-749.22
Realised
$-20.40
Win rate
1%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?
17098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-28.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 26?
855 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?
350 shares @ 71.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?
305 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 45°C on June 27?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 8?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 27?
138 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 29?
136 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-47.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?$3.45Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?$3.47Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 8?$3.41Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?$0.67Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 8?$0.03Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?$1.87Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?$0.04Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 8?$5.19Jul 8, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?$5.22Jul 8, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?$27.26Jul 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?$25.98Jul 8, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 8?$1.05Jul 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 8?$1.05Jul 8, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 8?$4.61Jul 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?$2.09Jul 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 8?$1.05Jul 8, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?$5.16Jul 8, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?$15.49Jul 8, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?$0.94Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?$5.17Jul 8, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 97 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
97 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.