Forsaken-Moth
0xbbf93c3d184f8a6c558c93be38ead60cf53e2584
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.7K
Realised
$-572.95
Win rate
44%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
4147 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-386.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
3160 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-489.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
2550 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-421.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
2520 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-270.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
1589 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-383.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 2AM ET
1559 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-519.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
1494 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-760.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1465 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-880.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
1360 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-563.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1353 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-761.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
48 closed markets, 44% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 10:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.