Writhing-Casement
0xbbf98c7b9b7c908ec1e7fea01c95b3098ce7ea29
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2265 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2262 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2259 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2258 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
944 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-472.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
938 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-469.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
938 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-469.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
934 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-467.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
928 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-464.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of December?$1.01Feb 2, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?$1.03Feb 2, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.53Feb 2, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$2.55Feb 2, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?$1.00Jan 4, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.0KDec 26, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$232.44Dec 26, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.3KDec 26, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.1KDec 26, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$475.17Dec 26, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$653.83Dec 26, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Dec 26, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.3KDec 26, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$200.00Dec 26, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$936.00Dec 26, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$10.00Dec 26, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $474.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".