Known-Endothelium
0xbbfb28d1a40728660ebd91c7874659d999279929
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$17.38
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$4.69
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 24?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$3.83
$0.01
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza before April?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$2.84
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before April?$3.00Mar 24, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?$3.00Mar 24, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 24?$3.82Mar 24, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELL Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?$9.82Mar 24, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?$14.53Mar 24, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$14.53Mar 24, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$17.38Mar 24, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$6.29Mar 24, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$11.09Mar 24, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$11.10Mar 19, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$11.10Mar 19, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$17.41Mar 19, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMOpenSea token announcement in 2024?$17.41Mar 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea token announcement in 2024?$17.32Jan 1, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.33Dec 28, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.56Dec 28, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.83Dec 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.07Dec 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$7.52Dec 28, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.49Dec 26, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.