Unsung-Climate
0xbc023ed0d55f81833bf97386d629b7a94f9069a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.98
Total PnL
$-232.63
Realised
$1.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
110 shares @ 12.3¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$9.25
$-4.25
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$-4.92
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
273 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
167 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-114.49
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
90 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
78 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?
48 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$4.09Jun 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$4.12Jun 19, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$29.00Jun 14, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.00Jun 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?$3.21Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.67Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?$10.32Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.00Jun 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.48Jun 12, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$82.98Jun 9, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$84.71Jun 9, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.19Jun 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.37Jun 9, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.14Jun 9, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$10.27Jun 9, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$10.00Jun 9, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?$2.12Jun 9, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?$5.14Jun 8, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $27.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.