Definitive-Glockenspiel
0xbc04bc41f789c4a972281f4aef400a0814a3531a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$12.26
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$6.23
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 1?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $180 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$5.22Jun 30, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2200 on July 1?$1.00Jun 30, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $180 in June?$1.00Jun 30, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jun 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?$1.00Jun 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jun 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 30, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?$1.00Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Han Duck-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.00Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?$1.00Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.01Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?$1.02Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 21?$2.00Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$5.01Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$5.00May 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 21?$2.00May 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.00May 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Duck-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.00May 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?$1.00May 21, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".