Fitting-Standardisation
0xbc09de242cf569eb164fe77d47077ebcde82cfbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$10.53
Total PnL
$-38.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.53
$8.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
125 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
44 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
36 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
20 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
19 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
- NO
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
12 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
11 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Mar 18, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPredators vs. Jets$10.62Mar 18, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredators vs. Jets$1.00Mar 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Michigan visit?$1.00Mar 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Kings$1.00Mar 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredators vs. Jets$5.00Mar 18, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Mar 11, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Mar 11, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.72Mar 11, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$9.20Mar 11, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.