0xbc0ad69fcb75a38acc3684acf02ded5cfdfc6fc4
0xbc0ad69fcb75a38acc3684acf02ded5cfdfc6fc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-46.33
Realised
$186.50
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1645 shares @ 37.1¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$748.42
$137.22
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
668 shares @ 90.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$607.99
$5.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
403 shares @ 80.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$360.53
$34.83
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$342.60
$10.60
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
300 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.55
$41.55
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$189.00
$5.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$188.90
$2.90
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 65.8¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$153.52
$21.84
- NO
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$140.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
115 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$102.07
$0.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$180.00Jun 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1.01Jun 12, 03:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$151.98Jun 11, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$101.69Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$1.00May 31, 16:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 31, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $34.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.