Taut-Modification
0xbc0c1e9051406647060e0ea9ca7e0c69e9089bbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.1K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
48%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET
976 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET
488 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET
488 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 2PM ET
488 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-222.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET
488 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10AM ET
488 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-222.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7PM ET
488 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-222.22
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 9AM ET
488 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-222.22
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 3PM ET
488 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-222.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 1PM ET
488 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-222.22
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.53Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$92.61Jul 7, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$51.61Jul 7, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$90.91Jul 7, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$92.59Jul 7, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$51.61Jul 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$51.57Jul 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$51.66Jul 7, 02:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.28Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$51.65Jul 6, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$51.69Jul 6, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$51.68Jul 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$90.91Jul 6, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$51.66Jul 6, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$51.63Jul 6, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$51.57Jul 6, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$90.91Jul 6, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$94.34Jul 6, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$51.64Jul 6, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 155 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
155 closed markets, 48% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $51.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.