0xbc0c205ba106c8b48d41cb7fcc1936232a14c30a
0xbc0c205ba106c8b48d41cb7fcc1936232a14c30a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?$1.00Mar 9, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.02Mar 4, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Mar 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 1?$1.01Mar 1, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$1.02Feb 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?$1.00Feb 24, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?$1.02Feb 24, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?$1.00Feb 20, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Feb 17, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.35Feb 17, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.56Feb 17, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$3.05Feb 17, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$2.00Feb 13, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.00Feb 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zhipu Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$3.00Feb 13, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.