Unwieldy-Initiative
0xbc117c2e6fd0ae0b23c17706c612efd23d45f775
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$29.39
Total PnL
$-25.58
Realised
$0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.96
$-0.54
- YES
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.05Jun 6, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.03Jun 6, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.02Jun 6, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.06Jun 6, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.01Jun 6, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.52Jun 6, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.03Jun 6, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wales win on 2026-06-02?$1.02Jun 2, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2026-06-02?$1.02Jun 2, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?$1.15Jun 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-01?$1.00Jun 1, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?$1.02May 31, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?$1.01May 31, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$2.63May 31, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-31?$1.38May 31, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-31?$1.07May 31, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?$1.63May 31, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.08May 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.12May 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?$1.02May 30, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.